Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.530917 0.584707 0.643850 0.714118 0.795871 0.888658 1.002904
2025-10-19 0.443158 0.515630 0.602048 0.714412 0.859300 1.043722 1.302947
2025-10-26 0.385013 0.463435 0.561853 0.697655 0.885667 1.145911 1.551656
2025-11-02 0.342921 0.422998 0.527330 0.677892 0.898248 1.224830 1.781513
2025-11-09 0.312137 0.392681 0.500866 0.662927 0.911672 1.303378 2.028894
2025-11-16 0.287797 0.368057 0.478662 0.649750 0.923587 1.379229 2.292487
2025-11-23 0.268127 0.347817 0.460130 0.638883 0.936089 1.456761 2.583962
2025-11-30 0.257753 0.339592 0.457812 0.652066 0.989409 1.617393 3.112702
2025-12-07 0.244616 0.326189 0.446317 0.648769 1.012984 1.726290 3.572801
2025-12-14 0.232887 0.313923 0.435356 0.644809 1.034235 1.834906 4.088697
2025-12-21 0.219175 0.297746 0.416979 0.626156 1.024703 1.874977 4.432569
2025-12-28 0.215538 0.296573 0.422132 0.648757 1.098935 2.123577 5.606518
2026-01-04 0.210203 0.292706 0.423068 0.664834 1.165048 2.380552 7.097252
2026-01-11 0.202436 0.284571 0.416396 0.666304 1.201034 2.574919 8.591122
2026-01-18 0.192470 0.272318 0.401857 0.651204 1.197521 2.658940 9.679354
2026-01-25 0.182871 0.260143 0.386638 0.633287 1.184770 2.712912 10.704179
2026-02-01 0.174741 0.249947 0.374199 0.619702 1.180297 2.792666 12.057279
2026-02-08 0.167479 0.240823 0.363072 0.607730 1.178007 2.880301 13.678694
2026-02-15 0.161059 0.232792 0.353397 0.597850 1.179526 2.983121 15.715779
2026-02-22 0.158302 0.230728 0.354233 0.609835 1.239304 3.322299 21.258829
2026-03-01 0.153593 0.225130 0.348292 0.606838 1.258931 3.519551 26.275690
2026-03-08 0.149099 0.219695 0.342327 0.603239 1.276443 3.718820 32.752170
2026-03-15 0.143112 0.211451 0.330718 0.586269 1.253648 3.735128 36.216666